World Cup Picks

[Mr.Smith]

for starters

Mexico -120 2 units. vs S Africa

South Africa not to advance -240 2 units

South Africa under 3.5 points -125 2 units

France, Uraguay & Mexico, none are great all 3 are good, S Africa in way over their head.

Australia +1 vs Germany

Algeria to advance no -450. Major injury issues

 

[mclosin]

im guessin mexico is a draw = push.

not sure i see the value of algeria -450 when one fluky result can sink you.

 

[X-Files]

not sure i see the value of algeria -450 when one fluky result can sink you.

When i play these the idea is i'm expecting to win at least 5 times in 6,
and hopefully 9 in 10. If a line has value in it, then why not. In the long
run you'll be winning/making a profit. Not everyone's cup of tea, though,
certainly, in playing that style.

 

[mclosin]

i understand the theory the problem with football is one red card one penalty can swing everything. algeria have the talent to beat slovenia or usa with a break or 2, why not take a shot at something that is gonna pay good instead of betting 450 dollars for 100? i just dont understand the logic. slovenia is barely a favorite against them, england will be a substantial one no doubt and usa might be playing for pride by that game depending on how things play out.

 

[Mr.Smith]

More picks

Germany-Australia under 2.5 2 units

Switzerland +1.5

Slovenia -150 3 units. Draw is a push. Algeria won their super bowl by beating their archenemy Egypt to qualify. Since then at the Africa cup they lost to Malawi 3-0. Malawi? Malawi? I've never even heard of that country. They also got smoked by Egypt 4-0. They have bad injury problems now too.

Slovenia qualified out of Europe and beat out Poland and Czech Republic in their group. They then beat Russia in a playoff to get here. I don't know who they are, you don't know who they are, but they obviously have something going on.

Algeria looks weak. They did well to get here.

 

[X-Files]

i understand the theory the problem with football is one red card one penalty can swing everything. algeria have the talent to beat slovenia or usa with a break or 2, why not take a shot at something that is gonna pay good instead of betting 450 dollars for 100? i just dont understand the logic. slovenia is barely a favorite against them, england will be a substantial one no doubt and usa might be playing for pride by that game depending on how things play out.

We are talking about Group C:

6/9/2010 8:00 AM Team to win in Group C
1071 England -300
1072 USA +450
1073 Slovenia +1150
1074 Algeria +2000

It looks like Algeria is very likely to end up dead last, let alone qualify.
If the USA is only playing for pride, then they'd have probably lost to
both England and Slovenia. There's a low chance of that happening.

Re the payout, a 100 payout is not good? BTW if one dislikes risking
4.5 units to win one, what many do is risk one unit instead. In this way
a loss does not "sink" one so much.

 

[whormoan]

mr smith, do you have a 5dimes account? Want to run something by you regarding Algeria

 

[Mr.Smith]

played some more

Switzerland-Spain under 2.5 -100 1 unit

Like this better now than Swiss +1.5 they probably wont score, 2-0 Spain would be fine.

Im going to bet against France, Italy, Argentina and England, but no hurry. Money will probably pour in on them.

odd pick probably coming, Ivory Coast vs Portugal, IC is the darling pick and Portugal is a bit overrated, Portugal recently drew 0-0 with Cape Verdi Islands ( I shit you not) and Portugal was playing a good lineup. but I think portugal will be more organized in defense and they will get Ivory Coast. not one of my better ideas and Ill keep it small.

Argentina not to advance +750. 2 units. like it worth a shot, no weaklings in the group.

Slovenia to win group C 15-1. 1 unit. Could be England has qualified and wont care when they play Slovenia. Algeria looks weak, USA is all over the place, they can be very good and very bad.

Algeria update: played 2 friendlies recently, got smacked by Serbia 3-0, turned around and got smacked again by Ireland 3-0. Unless the USA screws up Algeria will be outclassed.

 

[Mr.Smith]

2 friendly picks for Sat

Italy -145 1 unit

North Korea-Nigeria under 2.5 -155 1 unit

 

[Mr.Smith]

played Uruguay +.5 -120 3 units. wrong side favored? sure seems that way.

France not to advance +250 1 unit

France total goals under 7.5 -150 1 unit

Uruguay to win group A +400 1 unit

 

[Mr.Smith]

1 unit Algeria to finish 4th in group C -115. When the USA plays a good lineup, they are not a pile of poop.

3 futures bets to win 1 unit each

Chile 85-1

Paraguay 100-1

Uruguay 160-1

Definately a theme there. And the Euro "power" teams don't have home continent edge and a few of them are down, which can only open things up

 

[Mr.Smith]

I meant risking one unit each on the longshot futures

 

[Mr.Smith]

Time for me to run away screaming from my Swiss +1.5 bet

Playing back Spain -1.5, going to lose some juice there rather do that than try and hang in there with Switzerland +1.5 against the juggernaught

Record so far bad start 0-1 -1.55 units

Nigeria-NK pick lost

 

[Mr.Smith]

France to reach semifinal no -400 1 unit

They would have to get out of group which looks increasingly unlikely then get past two more matches.

 

[Mr.Smith]

France-Uruguay under 2.5 -150 2 units

1-1 seems like the most likely game, I just hope for my sake its not 1-0 France.

 

[Mr.Smith]

2-1 +3.45 units

lets go, its on

 

[jwblue]

France sucks *ss.

 

[Mr.Smith]

sat

Nigeria-Argentina under 2.5 -105 1 unit
USA +1.5 -180 1 unit

 

[Mr.Smith]

S Korea Greece under 2 -140 1 unit

 

[Mr.Smith]

USA-Eng over 2 -170 3 units